17 Prediction Markets forum communities
Updated 10/14/2026
r/forecasting
on reddit
The art and science of making numerical predictions and later checking their accuracy and calibration to test and improve your models of the world934 members
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Metaculus
A prediction platform where users make and evaluate forecasts about future events across science, tech, politics, and more.20K members
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Polymarket
A decentralized prediction market platform on Polygon where users trade on real-world event outcomes using USDC.30K members
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Long Now Foundation
An organization focused on long-term thinking and forecasting, with a forum for discussing long-range predictions and trends.ForumEvents![Community Placeholder]()
Foresight Institute Forum
A forecasting and futures studies community focused on emerging technologies, long-term prediction, and strategic foresight.ForumEvents![Community Placeholder]()
Manifold Markets
A prediction market platform where users trade on the outcomes of future events using play money and real rewards.15K members
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Good Judgment Open
A forecasting platform from the Good Judgment Project where users answer geopolitical and economic forecasting questions and track their accuracy.10K members
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r/predictionmarkets
on reddit
A community for discussing the power of prediction markets. Talk all things forecasting, futarchy and betting on beliefs. Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt, Manifold Markets, Smarkets and more!13K members
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PredictIt
A real-money prediction market platform where users trade shares in the outcomes of political and current events.50K members
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Kalshi
A regulated event contract exchange where users can bet on the outcomes of economic and political events within CFTC oversight.Forum![Community Placeholder]()
LessWrong
A community blog and forum dedicated to rationality, Bayesian reasoning, and improving forecasting skills through discussion and debate.25K members
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Astral Codex Ten
A community blog and forum focused on forecasting, rationality, AI safety, and prediction markets as a tool for truth-seeking.5K members
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r/cognitivebias
on reddit
Reddit community discussing cognitive biases and debiasing techniques relevant to improving forecasting accuracy.356 members
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r/SampleSize
on reddit
A place for surveys and polls to be posted. Research studies for school purposes are welcome as well as opinion polls We are also a place for people who enjoy responding to surveys to gather and help people obtain responses for their research. Questions about a mild level of statistics or wording of surveys are also permitted.271K members
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r/rational
on reddit
A place for discussion of rational fiction.29K members
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Machine Intelligence Research Institute
MIRI hosts discussions on AI forecasting and existential risk prediction, with an active research community.Forum
r/futurology
on reddit
A subreddit devoted to the field of Future(s) Studies and evidence-based speculation about the development of humanity, technology, and civilization. -------- You can also find us in the fediverse at - https://futurology.today21.7M members
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FAQ
Community size
- Tiny: 0 communities (<20 members)
- Small: 0 communities (20-100 members)
- Medium: 2 communities (100-1,000 members)
- Large: 1 communities (1,000-10,000 members)
- Huge: 8 communities (10,000-100,000 members)
- Massive: 1 communities (100,000-1M members)
- Gigantic: 1 communities (1M+ members)
Community features
- 17ForumThreaded discussions and forum-style posts
- 2Live ChatReal-time chat for members
- 2Online/Offline EventsHosts online or offline events
Community platforms
- Reddit: 6 communities
- Discord: 3 communities
