11 Prediction Markets communities on Independent Platforms
Updated 10/14/2026![Community Placeholder]()
Metaculus
A prediction platform where users make and evaluate forecasts about future events across science, tech, politics, and more.20K members
ForumChat![Community Placeholder]()
Polymarket
A decentralized prediction market platform on Polygon where users trade on real-world event outcomes using USDC.30K members
ForumChat![Community Placeholder]()
Long Now Foundation
An organization focused on long-term thinking and forecasting, with a forum for discussing long-range predictions and trends.ForumEvents![Community Placeholder]()
Foresight Institute Forum
A forecasting and futures studies community focused on emerging technologies, long-term prediction, and strategic foresight.ForumEvents![Community Placeholder]()
Manifold Markets
A prediction market platform where users trade on the outcomes of future events using play money and real rewards.15K members
Forum![Community Placeholder]()
Good Judgment Open
A forecasting platform from the Good Judgment Project where users answer geopolitical and economic forecasting questions and track their accuracy.10K members
Forum![Community Placeholder]()
PredictIt
A real-money prediction market platform where users trade shares in the outcomes of political and current events.50K members
Forum![Community Placeholder]()
Kalshi
A regulated event contract exchange where users can bet on the outcomes of economic and political events within CFTC oversight.Forum![Community Placeholder]()
LessWrong
A community blog and forum dedicated to rationality, Bayesian reasoning, and improving forecasting skills through discussion and debate.25K members
Forum![Community Placeholder]()
Astral Codex Ten
A community blog and forum focused on forecasting, rationality, AI safety, and prediction markets as a tool for truth-seeking.5K members
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Machine Intelligence Research Institute
MIRI hosts discussions on AI forecasting and existential risk prediction, with an active research community.Forum
All Prediction Markets communities
FAQ
Aggregate Stats
Community size
- Tiny: 0 communities (<20 members)
- Small: 0 communities (20-100 members)
- Medium: 0 communities (100-1,000 members)
- Large: 1 communities (1,000-10,000 members)
- Huge: 6 communities (10,000-100,000 members)
- Massive: 0 communities (100,000-1M members)
- Gigantic: 0 communities (1M+ members)


